dYdX Founder Skeptical Of Current Bull Run, Cites Low Participation

Taking to X on January 5, Antonio Juliano, the founder of dYdX, a decentralized exchange (DEX), expressed skepticism regarding the current crypto bull run. Juliano attributed the recent price surge to “light trading volumes.” This formation might, despite the overall confidence, not sustain the uptrend.

Founder: This Bull Run Is Different, Participation Is Low

Juliano asserted that a true bull cycle is not defined solely by price action but by participation and community enthusiasm. The founder continued that this “does not seem to be happening yet.”

The founder attributed the lack of widespread adoption to the absence of “groundbreaking” products that have captured the attention of a “broader” audience. However, releasing these “products” to the market could revive activity, driving crypto trading volume. 

Juliano’s comments come ahead of the potential approval of the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Among several applicants are Fidelity, Grayscale, and BlackRock. Insiders claim the agency could approve the first product in the coming days. 

A spot Bitcoin ETF may open the floodgates to institutional investors, allowing them to gain exposure to the Bitcoin and crypto market in a regulated manner. As it is currently structured, willing institutions regulated by the SEC can only get exposure through Grayscale’s products, including the GBTC.

Along the same line, some commentators have speculated that the SEC’s approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF could lead to the approval of a spot Ethereum ETF in 2024. An Ethereum Futures ETF was approved in 2023 and is currently available for trading. Even so, the product, like Bitcoin Futures ETFs that are widespread, tracks an Ethereum index price, not the Ethereum spot rate. Even so, whether the SEC will greenlight a spot Ethereum ETF remains to be seen. 

Will A Bitcoin ETF Approval Revive DYDX Demand?

Trading volume is a critical metric for measuring participation and, thus, interest in a particular asset. The higher it is, the more liquid the asset is. 

Depending on the prevailing sentiment, this might support prices or lead to a sell-off. As the crypto community eagerly waits for the SEC to decide on the flagship product, altcoins, including DYDX, have been firm.

Looking at the DYDX price chart in the daily chart, prices are moving horizontally but relatively high from the October 2023 lows. 

The coin is up roughly 50% but remains under pressure in the short term. DYDX is down 40% from November 2023 peaks, trading below December 2023 lows in a bearish breakout formation.

Feature image from Canva, chart from TradingView

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