HBAR Price May See a Crash Amid 4B Hedera Token Unlock

The Hedera crypto has been stuck in a tight range lately, showing little signs of recovery. Although the HBAR price action may seem stable at first glance, there are growing signs that pressure is building beneath the surface. Several underlying risks are beginning to stack up, hinting that this quiet phase may not last for long.

One of the biggest concerns is the upcoming token unlock event. A large number of Hedera tokens is set to be released into circulation. At the same time, investor interest appears to be cooling, with ETF inflows slowing and overall network activity losing steam. Together, these factors are raising doubts about HBAR’s ability to hold its current range. It points towards a possible downside move if conditions don’t improve.

HBAR Price Faces Major Token Unlock Pressure

Notably, Hedera crypto is entering a crucial phase as a large number of HBAR tokens are set to be unlocked. With nearly 4 billion tokens expected to be released this quarter, the increase in supply is raising concerns among traders. Even though these tokens are part of the ecosystem’s long-term growth plans, such a sharp rise in circulating supply often puts pressure on the token prices.

Right now, the HBAR price HBAR0.58% is holding steady just above $0.091 after recovering from its recent lows. As of press time, the token is valued at $0.09100, with marginal hikes of 0.7% in a day and 1.12% in a week. The trading volume is also positive, with 13% surge in the last 24 hours.

But this stability could be tested as the unlock progresses. When more tokens become available, it can lead to increased selling pressure. Especially, early holders or participants who intend to take profits may largely sell their tokens. This may lead to potential declines in the HBAR price.

Another major challenge is the significant fall in investor demand. Over the past few months, the inflow into HBAR ETFs has slowed noticeably, signalling reduced interest from institutional players.

HBAR’s Past Unlock Sparks Bullish Hopes

At the same time, there is a sense of cautious optimism. A similar token unlock in the past was followed by a strong HBAR price rally. This gives investors some hope that history could repeat itself. Analyst ALLINCRYPTO shared an X post, citing,

“$HBAR holders are worried over the 8% unlock coming this quarter which is one of the biggest it has faced. However, the last time there was an 8% token release (Q4 2024). $HBAR had ONE OF IT’S BIGGEST EVER PRICE SPIKES OF ALMOST 700%!!!!!”

Technical Patterns Signal More Downward Risk

It is worth noting that the HBAR price has been on a steady decline over the past few months, falling from around $0.40 in January last year to $0.09 now. This consistent drop shows that the overall trend has remained weak, with sellers continuing to dominate the market. Even though there have been brief periods of stability, the bigger picture still points to a bearish trend.

From a technical perspective, things don’t look very strong. HBAR is currently trading below all its key moving averages. This usually signals that downward momentum is still in play. The chart also hints at a double-top pattern, a setup that often appears before further declines.