Market Dip Puts Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK) to the Test, Who Will Emerge Stronger?

On Nov 14, 2023

On Monday, November 13, the crypto markets experienced a sharp downturn, largely attributed to a significant decline in the value of altcoins. This decline was exacerbated late in the afternoon by what was revealed to be a false corporate registration for the iShares XRP Trust. The crypto community, already grappling with a bearish market, was further unsettled by this misinformation.

Amidst this uncertainty, two major players, Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK), found themselves particularly impacted. SOL, which had been leading the altcoin rally with a remarkable doubling in price within a month, faced a sudden reversal of fortune, plummeting to a 7% loss over 24 hours. Meanwhile, LINK wasn’t spared either, experiencing a plunge of more than 4%.

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Solana (SOL) has recently been at the forefront of the cryptocurrency market’s rally, however, as the overall adage goes, what goes up must come down, and SOL is no exception.

Analysts, including Chris Burniske, formerly of Ark Invest, have hinted at the potential for a reversal from its recent highs. The performance of Solana has been remarkable, with a spike over $55 bringing it closer to a crucial resistance level at around $59. The daily candle’s long upper wick signals a strong seller response to buyer pressure, suggesting a possible market turnaround.

Adding to the intrigue, the altcoin’s journey has been further complicated by movements from wallets associated with the bankrupt crypto exchange FTX, including a significant transfer of SOL tokens worth millions to exchanges like Binance and Kraken.

Solana (SOL) Technical Analysis

From a technical analysis standpoint, Solana (SOL) is currently oscillating below the first level of resistance at $59.73, just shy of the recent high of $63.39. On the support side, SOL is hovering above the initial support point at $48.31. These levels are crucial, as they indicate potential turning points for the cryptocurrency.

The 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalling at the $57 mark and price fluctuations around the 9 and 18 day moving averages at $41.85 and $ $38.6 respectively add to the complexity of the scenario. With Solana (SOL) having risen significantly by 145% in the past month and over 267% year-to-date, the current price, despite a temporary decline, remains a focal point for traders.

Solana (SOL) Bullish and Bearish Indicators

In terms of future prospects, Solana (SOL) faces a bifurcated path. The bullish scenario can unfold if the coin overcomes its current resistance level at $59.73, which would open the path towards testing higher resistances at $67.27 and potentially $71.15. This optimistic view is bolstered by the sustained interest in the asset’s technology and its popularity within the crypto community.

Source: TradingView

The bearish perspective, however, is concerned with the potential oversupply in the market due to the FTX estate’s liquidation of SOL holdings. If these sales exert downward pressure, Solana (SOL) could retreat to its lower support levels, particularly $44.43 and even $36.89.

Investors and traders are closely watching these developments, as the next moves by FTX’s estate could significantly influence the SOL market trajectory.

The Chainlink (LINK) market is buzzing with excitement following some notable recent developments. Chainlink has just rolled out its latest staking platform, Chainlink Staking v0.2, a major step in its Chainlink Economics 2.0 initiative expanding the staking pool from 25 to 45 million. The project’s large-scale upgrade aims at providing more opportunities for node operators and community members to earn rewards from LINK staking, the move that stirred up investor talks that Chainlink (LINK) has all chances to soar above the $42 mark by 2024.

Chainlink (LINK) Technical Analysis

However, the current technical analysis of Chainlink (LINK) paints a more nuanced picture. As of now, LINK is oscillating between $13.78 and $15.98. This positioning is critical, as a breach in either direction could significantly influence the token’s trajectory.

Source: TradingView

Chainlink (LINK) recently crossed its 9-day moving average at $13.43, a move that typically suggests a shift in short-term momentum. This crossing, however, must be approached with caution, as the token is still below its 1-month, 13-week, and 52-week high of $16.58. Additionally, the 18-day moving average stands at $11.9, providing another layer of support below the current price. A break below this level could signify a bearish turn, potentially leading to the further decline towards $11.56.

The 3-10 day MACD Oscillator, currently at $16.11, indicates a loss of upward momentum in the short term, a warning sign for bullish traders. Moreover, the 3-10-16 day MACD moving average at $12.18 has stalled as well, signaling a potential shift in the medium-term trend.

Chainlink (LINK) Bullish and Bearish Indicators

On the bullish side, the introduction of Chainlink Staking v0.2 could serve as a significant catalyst for upward momentum. If Chainlink (LINK) successfully holds above the current support level and breaks through the resistance at $15.98, it could signal a positive shift in investor sentiment, potentially driving the price towards higher resistance points like the 1-month high of $16.58 or even the subsequent resistance at $17.38. Such a breakout, combined with the staking platform’s launch and the general anticipation of a bull market, could propel LINK to new heights.

On the bearish front, the Chainlink (LINK) price has encountered downward pressure, indicated by its recent descent towards the $13.78 support level. This trend echoes a previous episode in mid-2020, where LINK failed to sustain above its support level, resulting in a drastic 50% price drop in subsequent weeks.

If history repeats itself, and the asset breaks below $13.78, there’s a potential risk of the price falling to single digits, undoing the gains of recent weeks, which include a 12% increase in the past 7 days, 95% in the last month, and 127% over the last year.

In the midst of a turbulent crypto market, Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK) stand as two prominent examples of the dynamic and unpredictable nature of cryptocurrency investments. SOL, with its recent remarkable rise and subsequent downturn, exemplifies the volatile journey many altcoins are experiencing. Traders are watching the asset closely, curious to see if it can bounce back or if it’ll feel the heat from market pressures like the FTX estate’s moves.

LINK, meanwhile, is stirring up a mix of hope and caution. As it oscillates between pivotal price levels, investors are weighing the bullish potential of the staking platform against the bearish trends indicated by recent price movements.

Both Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK), therefore, embody the high-risk, high-reward nature of cryptocurrency investments, where each new development can significantly sway the market.

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