Tight Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin Point to Impending Surge

On Jul 12, 2023

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The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin have tightened to the most since January, and with US CPI figures due at 12:30 UTC, a potential surge is on the cards.

Technical Analysis Indicator Signals BTC Volatility Explosion

In the fast-paced and ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, traders are always looking for indicators that can help predict market movements.

One such indicator that has caught the attention of crypto enthusiasts as they anticipate the U.S. inflation report for June is the Bollinger Bands.

These bands, created by technical analyst John Bollinger, provide insights into the volatility and potential price breakouts of an asset.

In the case of Bitcoin, traders are closely watching as Bollinger Bands tighten to the lowest level since early January, signaling an imminent big move in the market.

When the bands tighten, it suggests that volatility is contracting, often leading to a period of consolidation before a significant price movement.

Analyst Josh Olszewicz highlighted the tightness of the Bollinger Bands, emphasizing that squeezes of this magnitude have only occurred a few times in the past ten years.

1D $BTC
bbands are tight. how tight? squeezes of this caliber have only ever occurred a handful of times in the past decade.
most squeezes like this have tipped the market bias before breakout.
the last squeeze this tight? jan this year pic.twitter.com/qWsRdDJB59
— Josh Olszewicz (@CarpeNoctom) July 12, 2023

Historical patterns suggest that such squeezes often precede a change in market sentiment before a breakout.

Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bandwidth for Bitcoin has fallen to 0.04, the lowest level since early January, as reported on the TradingView charting platform.

BTC daily:
BBW at 0.04.
Has only been lower 5 times at 0.03.
Big move incoming? pic.twitter.com/d20NwydoGg
— Nunya Bizniz (@Pladizow) July 11, 2023

According to crypto analyst Nunya Bizniz, Bitcoin’s bandwidth has been this low only a few times in its 14-year history, implying a potential increase in volatility in the near future.

Focus on US CPI as Key Inflation Metric to Watch

As the global financial landscape evolves, the intersection between traditional markets and cryptocurrencies has become increasingly pronounced.

Among the various factors impacting the crypto space, the announcement of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) has captured the attention of traders worldwide.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

It is a critical gauge of inflationary pressures and is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors alike.

Given its limited supply and decentralized nature, many investors view Bitcoin as a haven asset in times of economic uncertainty.

Consequently, major economic events, such as the release of the U.S. CPI, significantly impact Bitcoin’s price and market sentiment.

The focus of this week revolves around the expected release of the US June Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI), which will once again bring attention to inflation data.

These reports hold significance as they can potentially influence the Federal Reserve’s decision regarding interest rates.

Investors will closely watch for any signs of increasing inflation that could prompt the Federal Reserve to reconsider its plans for a 25-basis-point interest rate hike.

Following a pause in rate increases last month, the Federal Reserve’s shift toward a more cautious stance will depend on the inflationary pressures within the economy.

Although the Federal Reserve’s actions have helped decrease the CPI from 9% in August 2022 to 4% in May, concerns are mounting about a potential breach that could have severe economic consequences.

🚀 Exciting news in the world of #crypto! 🌟📈📉 The June CPI and PPI readings are the talk of the town! The CPI took a dip to 4% in May and has been on a downward trend.💥💰 But hold on tight, because despite this, the Federal Reserve appears poised for a rate hike later this… pic.twitter.com/NO5SGmFsan
— Cryptonic Daily (@CryptonicDaily) July 11, 2023

According to economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal, the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to have decreased to 3.1% in June compared to May’s 4.0%.

The core CPI is also predicted to decrease to 5% from 5.3%.

The anticipation of the CPI release has impacted $BTC’s price. At press time, bitcoin price is trading at $30,731.00, with a 0.93% surge in the past 24 hours.